The past few weeks for me in this course have been lazy; not so much in terms of my contribution to my groups decisions and meetings but in terms of my individual work towards my learning journal. I have realised that I have not been taking these journals as seriously as i should have after the second group meeting where I had become comfortable enough to just do the group work. I had fallen into a mindset of "this is so easy, i can bullcrap my way through my summary report" which i have now realised is not so easy as i find it hard enough doing a single journal entry every week for this course that would essentially build this summary report.
This week i really struggled with figuring out why my strategy in terms of the productivity of the workers was not going as well as i had planned/ predicted. I had looked at many different possibilities and reports to try figure out if i was miscalculating or if i was missing crucial steps that are to be implemented after i had come to a conclusion in terms of results. My group have been really patient and have not bought up any concerns about the decisions i make which is quite alarming for me because i am only 90% sure of them. i prefer to be questioned in order for me to know that they understand what i have done and why i have done it that way which is solely on my part as i do not disclose this information to the group, only my decisions in terms of my role because i am very brief and do not tend to go into detail.
I have realised that as the weeks go on, i sit in the group meetings and contribute what i am expected to contribute in terms of my role only and never pay much attention to the decisions made based on everyone else's role which has been a huge contributing factor as to why I don't understand why certain decisions have been which is, again, on my own part
In terms of figuring out why my strategy has not worked, i aim to come up with a plan and at our group meetings speak up about what i have done and why i have or haven't done this. To this day, i have just agreed to decisions being made and have not understood why as i lack in confidence to ask questions within my group as i try to stay as minimal as possible in case of conflict which i am aware has not been the best strategy for me or for my group with a declining SHV.
I feel as though our group has taken on an Anchor approach in which the old numbers become anchors and the forecaster then adjusts based on other factors. This approach, while it may lead to a reasonably accurate estimate, tends to give too much weight to past events and not enough weight to other factors (Hammond, Keeney and Raifa, 1998). In our group's case, this may have not proven to be the best strategy with our declining SHV but it has definitely been effective in some areas. One of my group members had suggested completely abandoning a small part of our strategy and (for only one step only) do what the other groups with better SHV's have been doing but due to the anchor approach, it had been decided that we focus on our previous experience and forecasts which i am not sure had the most positive effect on our rollover results turn out.
Hammond (1998) indicates a clear set of thinking in order to counter the problems incurred with our Anchor approach. In my case, it is ideal that i seek information and opinions from my group to widen my frame of reference which will give me a little but more confidence in my decisions. This requires me to look at the problem from different points of views which also retaliates this Anchor approach.